Saturday, 18 April 2015

Queues + Kenyans

It came to me this week, show a Kenyan a queue and they'll want to get to the front of it. Its like a conditioning that we've all gone through I think.

We have queues everywhere literally, especially in Nairobi; lets list the queues that you'd go through in your average day in the capital of the +254 

  • The bathroom
  • The iron box
  • To exit the estate at rush hour
  • To enter the estate in the evening rush hour
  • The bank
  • The supermarket
If there is a service that a Kenyan needs there is probably a queue.

Lets face it if you don't leave home at a considerably early and insane hour more so with the advent of Kidero's drums (5 AM to start work at 8 AM) your whole commute will be a queue. From the moment you exit the estate to getting a parking slot in town. Jam as you will find out (if you don't already know) can find you inside your estate and escort you slowly all the way to your office. Is it that we are too many people in this city?
I digress though. So basically from the moment you leave the comfy warmth of your bed you most likely face a queue in at some point in your efforts to reach the office. 

Take for example the queue at the bank or at a government office, I challenge you to calculate the amount of time you spend in a queue especially if you live in Nairobi.

What is worse than queues that we face is the behavior of some Kenyans' in those queues, and it is the most annoying thing that you can face in any given day. There types of Kenyans you face in queues:

  • Emergency Workers: those who have to get to the front of the line, they overlap shamelessly because as you guessed it - they are on their way to an emergency
  • VIP's: they know someone controlling the front of the line so because of their important status they get to skip the line all together
  • Needy children: they have no concept of what personal space means. Instead each space they see in front of them is a space they should be in, so close to the person in front of them that they case one shadow. They have no concept of personal space - I strongly suspect that the people in city planning fall in this category
  • Touchy People: they love their personal space and are allergic to crowds.
It's like when a Kenyan see's a space in a line, it's in their DNA to fill that space - creating a lifestyle of gridlock

Your thoughts? Comment below

Friday, 17 April 2015

Retreat from Somalia = peace?

“Withdraw KDF from Somalia and we will have peace” this is the message that some leaders and Al-Shabaab have assured Kenyan’s will happen. Actually it’s a variation some Kenyans have added the last part “we will have peace”, Al-Shabaab tell us that we withdraw and they will still continue to attack until all the wrongs perpetuated by non-Muslims on Muslims are avenged (the list of wrongs is long detailed yet vague).
There are many who while not being part of the withdrawal camp do believe that withdrawal is for the best at the very least to prevent the generals continuing to line their pockets with the benefits of Kismayu’s varied exports. Which is happening because the trade in Kismayu continues and whether AMISOM (KDF) exacts a lower tax than Al-Shaabab (which is quite likely given the quiet in that sector) & is a matter of some debate; this incidentally I believe is one of the main reasons for Al-Shabaab’s campaign of terror in Kenya. Kismayu was a major source of revenue for the group because on top of the chance to write the injustice of historical wrongs Al-Shabaab & their jihad does pay well from the accounts of the family members of their adherents, in fact many families comment on how their members join because of joblessness.
To return the main reason for the article will a withdrawal lead to peace?  That peace is possible but that depends on how the withdrawal is accomplished. I shall explain in two steps below:

Withdraw today: this will not guarantee peace, it will embolden Al-Shabaab shift the emputus from the Somali National government as well as the regional authorities that
have sprung up and give them validity and if they can turn that validity into territorial gains they would in short order be back in control of Somalia and then we will have no peace. They will have learned from their first encounter with AMISOM and they would prepare extremely well for the next encounter which will as sure as the dawn come.
If Al-Shaabab controls Somalia the attacks in Kenya and across the region will not stop, with the platform that controlling a country would provide them their next campaign would not be insurgent attacks it may be a campaign of insurgent attacks as well as frontal ones as conducted by Boko Haraam in Nigeria. None of us want that for East Africa – except Al-Shabaab and their adherents.
Withdraw with Goals: our presence in Somalia cannot be open ended, it must be to achieve a specific objective and that objective is to restore a stable government for the people of Somalia that is a participating member of the region taking its rightful place in the development of the people of East Africa.  This must be the ultimate goal of the AMISOM mission.

This AMISOM mission must have a clearly defined timetable of objectives to be achieved (assigned to a time frame where possible) with the people of Somalia having their rightful part to play (they have to have a key stake in the rebuilding of their nation – which it ultimately is). Defeating Al-Shabaab isn't just about militarily defeating them it’s also about building a culture that will resist their attempt to create a narrative of hate and violence.
So in summary there will be peace in Somalia, Kenya and East Africa from the threat of Islamic Jihad when AMISOM withdraws from Somalia – the right way having rebuilt a stable society.

Should we withdraw tomorrow – there will be no peace

Our leaders: They Can't or They Won't

After the April 2nd Garissa University attack and the postmortem is continuing in all it’s heart wrenching goriness. I can only imagine what the families of the victims including those who are still missing loved ones must be going through.
As details emerge of what went down on the days leading to the attack as well as on the material day itself. A litany of mistakes, gaffes, incompetence and downright treachery by the different people who played a part (willingly or not) in the horror that was meted out on the Kenyans’ who lost their lives at Garissa University.
If I was to write about all the errors they would fill a book. From the security personnel who were given intelligence about the attacks, to the Kenyans who provided for the attackers (with intelligence, logistics, sanctuary and supplies in the lead up to the attack) to the security services who didn't coordinate their response to the attacks (with no coordination so that the actual rescue began at 5 pm in the evening) when the attackers ammunition was almost exhausted and they had killed the majority of their victims.
What really irks me though is looking at the decision makers who are charged with our safety I have to ask myself –if they care for ordinary Kenyans. Because  looking at how our leaders react (throughout the entire levels of leadership)  to the challenges we face in security can only  be explained in one of two ways from the way I see it and neither way bodes well for the future of this country.

Il-equipped: we have equipment to secure and build this country however the application of those tools by individuals at decision making levels exhibits a lack of knowledge despite all their training on how to apply those tools – there seems to be an inflexibility to adapt to situations that require a flexible response to counter them. Taking the issue that is most discussed with respect to Garissa – dispatching of the Recce team to Garissa. 


The attacks began between 0500 – 0600hrs, the commandant of the GSU was on his way to Turkwel that morning to reopen a road that had been blocked by locals. The Recce team was ready to leave for Garissa by 0800hrs. At that time one of the Cessna 208B’s that would have been used by the team was on its way on a training/family flight to Mombasa.


At that point the decision makers would, should have done two things reason would dictate:

Firstly: turn back the 208B to Nairobi, immediately make sure that they requisition whatever air resources would be necessary to take the entire team to Garissa immediately (there are a operators of Dash 8 aircraft at Wilson – the very same ones used to evacuate the wounded; which combined with the 208B that was still at Wilson would have been enough to get the team to Garissa in at most 2 hours.

Secondly: Immediately dispatched the Recce team to Wilson airport – it begs belief that they took two hours in Nairobi traffic – they should have been driven on the wrong side of the road on pavements, dammit through gardens and back yards to get to Wilson.


They should have been at Wilson by 0900hrs to be dispatched by 0930hrs at the latest. While this was happening the person in charge of the Recce team should have been in touch with the security decision makers in Garissa to get the Recce team what they needed to create a plan of attack on the way to Garissa. This would be plans of the buildings (floors, rooms entrances, emergency exits), the layout of the surrounding area (observation points, lines of sight, high grounds and roads) as well as real time intelligence on where the attackers were holed up. The campus was surrounded by security personnel from different commands – the information was readily obtainable from the county offices as well as officers on the ground. This plan is a simple plan it’s not rocket science and anyone who has been to command school, management school anyone making decisions for a nation should have thought of something along these lines.
How is it that the press got to Garissa before the Recce squad and it can’t be money because the government surely has enough of that, so then we have a tool (Recce) that can adopt to complex situations fluidly but a command and control structure that cannot adapt itself to wield the tool in fluid situations. Begging the question, are these, our leaders ill-equipped to adapt to complex security situations. This option assumes that our leaders do earnestly care about our nation’s security but are out of their depth in the face of the current challenges we are facing as a nation – to remedy this we need to equip our leaders better to give them the skills they need to apply the tools of our safety.

Competent but don’t care: which is the worse sin because it would mean that the people in charge with the leadership are first of all don’t care about what they are in those positions to do, their focus is on other things and so instead of being motivated to do the best job they can at all times, which would mean that on their order of priorities keeping the peace is quite low, the peace exists to enable our leaders to continue their most important interests while enjoying the benefits of leadership.
Leadership at all levels whose motivation isn't the mantle of their leadership but something else (whatever that may be) then the people who they lead are worse off. This kind of leadership is reactionary, they don’t seek to adapt and anticipate or improve responses beyond what is necessary to keep their leadership intact. As an author in the Daily Nation said our security leadership while presiding over an archaic inflexible security apparatus run thriving private entities with truly Buffetesque flair.

For your review check out this article in the Daily Nation from April 14th 2015

Could that explain why the most the reactions in the wake of the attack are knee jerk reactions that in the short term will be seen to be doing something while in the long run may not be for the benefit of the people of this nation. As always let’s look at an example:
Security Crackdown: in the wake of the attack the government machinery has swung into gear freezing accounts, blacklisting individuals, closing businesses, demanding the closure of the world’s largest refugee camp (in direct contradiction of international conventions) and building what would be Kenya’s longest wall. These activities paint a worrying picture for me. The financial measures: how long has the government had this list? Unless it’s a PR list – equally as bad isn't it?
Then lets discuss the wall, 700 kilometers long in all its anticipated glory, is that the best use of our resources? Is it guaranteed to improve the safety of this nation? Will that wall keep out of this nation the habits that are killing us? Or are those habits already firmly entrenched within our borders the antithesis of the plenty that should be found in our borders.

Closing of Dadaab – the largest refugee camp on the planet, how much will it cost?
To begin with being that international refugee law doesn't confine refugees to camps and that our government hasn't allocated an adequate budget to the Department of Refugee affairs – what exactly will this accomplish?
How are we sending people back who can’t properly identify or of whom have no exhaustive database of origins, do we see that happening? Visit the Department of Refugee Affairs and find out for yourself.
We all know that the government won’t do a proper job in any of the initiatives taken by the government, none of them will last beyond the first phase and will leave in us (Kenyans) a bitter taste, fear and a suspicion of Somalis’ - it's already happening just talk to your neighbor. 

What I fear this may entrench is a mindset of us vs them – further dividing this nation, wasting our resources and killing us.
These actions then are populist, designed to show us in a very simplistic way that our leaders believe will convince us that they do care about us and that the attacks are not events that distract them from their primary agenda (enjoying the benefits of leadership and furthering their personal enterprise) but serious threats to us the people they care about and who their prime objective is to serve and lead.
Soon everything will return to normal, there will be no accountability for our leaders everything will return to normal and all of us (leaders and the led) will return to our primary objectives – the advancement of our individual enterprise by all at our disposal to the detriment of  all else.
So then you tell me are our leaders ill-equipped or do they just not care about us enough and chose to direct energies to personal advancement with the tools of their office and treat the objectives of leadership as secondary (stability to ensure longevity in office) and ultimately that fault is ours as the fabric of society.


To paraphrase a famous tweet,
“individualism has killed football, cricket and now it’s killing us”

Tuesday, 7 April 2015

What is the endgame?

It’s April 3rd 2015 and our nation is reeling once again from a gruesome attack. On April 2nd gunmen attacked the Graissa University College and as of today at least 147 people have lost their lives in addition to the perpetrators or terrorists or murderers.



The details emerging of the siege at the university are horrible, they cannot be recounted and they are all over the internet. More and more details are emerging and with time, the more detailed and horrible they become.
The murderers targeted an early morning Christian Union prayer meeting; they knew exactly where the students were and they went about their abhorrent mission according to eye witness accounts almost gleefully taunting victims, making them call their parents, referencing Easter – happily executing their evil mission. In some cases the victims called out to Jesus to save them and were immediately shot dead and according to first responders they were mostly shot in the back of the head while lying on the floor.
In my mind it is crystal clear those murderers are having a reckoning with the God of the followers who they killed with ruthless abandon on April 3rd 2015. I stake my life on the certainty that it isn't a joyful reckoning.
The shock of the attack perpetuated on my country men and women follows a similar pattern to previous attacks carried out against Kenyans in the last five years.
However the attacks and the pattern of the attacks isn't unique to Kenya, East Africa or Africa for that matter. This pattern of attacks where the victims are unprepared noncombatant’s, targeted in places of education, worship or shopping isn't unique to Kenya.
These attacks depending on where they are carried out in the world target Christian’s, Muslims, Hindu’s, atheists or members of other faiths. Unfortunately and I’m not profiling here the perpetrators claiming (correctly or not) to be true Muslims, labelled Islamic radicals or terrorist (depending on who is describing them) are by and large claiming to act in the name of Islam.
The narrative of the ideologies behind the attacks changes based on which region of the world the attack is carried out in. I will illustrate:

  1. East Africa: unbelievers attacking Muslim lands or dispossessing Muslim are of their lands and as such are legitimate targets for the revenge being carried out by the attackers who also are on a crusade to bring the law of the Quran back to those wrongfully dispossessed Muslim lands
  2. West Africa: unbelievers who have perpetuated injustices against Muslims & Islam and the backup reason of establishing the rule of Islamic law in the areas that “belong” to Islam
  3. North Africa: Muslims against Muslims based on tribal allegiance
  4. Middle East: that’s where it becomes more complicated but the lines are still the same. It’s  Muslim against Muslim based on the version of their religion (Sunni vs Shia) IS against the Iraqi government or IS against Yazidi Christians in that instance the narrative reverts to version 1, 2 or 3
I’m inclined to see a pattern here of violence always against others with the justification for violence changing based on the theater of application with the only constant being violence.
This in turn leads to the question at least from where I’m sitting, what is the ultimate goal of these different movements in different parts of the world but executing a similar campaign of violence.
Everything has a reason and an objective – so what is the objective of these movements? Will they stop when they conquer their current adversaries? Is it simplistic to believe that they will seize when the current objective is achieved? Will Al-Shabaab seize their campaign against Kenya when as they demand Kenya withdraws her troops & for the Kenyan radicals returns “Muslim lands” to Muslims?

I don’t think that will happen, there will always be a new enemy, a new cause for the “faithful” to take up arms against the “infidel” and the violence will not stop even when the objectives that are fueling the violence are achieved.
In the event that this theory is correct then that means as the violence continues, the more territory and people that the perpetrators take over the greater their capacity of committing violence will become – which brings us back to Al-Shabaab who on Saturday April 4th promised to wage a long bloody war against the population of Kenya. 

Their attacks in Kenya are out of a sense of desperation a campaign to regain lost territory and an economic base to wage its campaign of violence. It’s a battle born out of desperation for relevance.
Without the territory that they have lost in Somalia they continue to struggle for economic and cultural relevance in their homeland. Without the territory they have lost they will not have an economic base as well as a base of followers (plus access to the population’s contacts in foreign countries – useful when sending foreign fighters to those nations)

In conclusion – the campaign of violence seems unlikely to end:  irrespective of the objectives achieved by the antagonists.

So in that context if the main proponents in each of the four regions of the world where these religious conflicts are being waged achieve their stated short term objectives it will lead to a temporary lull in the overall campaign followed by a period of consolidation of those players into bigger regional movements or supremacy conflicts from which a stronger aggressor will emerge to initiate more campaigns of violence.

To answer the question the end game is violence, followed by conquest, consolidation, expansion followed by more violence and in the unlikely event that global domination is achieved and there is no more resistance – there will still be violence – because this movement cannot exist without violence.
An aside is as long as people refuse to bow to this ideology then there will be violence, attacks, people will get hurt and there will be war and days like April 2nd 2015 will continue sadly to happen. 

For those who ascribe to their ideology they seem to have committed to either convert their opponents, kill them or be killed. 

What will the rest of us choose..


Sunday, 28 December 2014

Laws made for them - the other's

There are a few scenarios that the average Kenyan in our beloved capital really doesn't want to come across in their daily travels. You know the kind that you mention in your morning prayer time - fervently.

The thing that is strange is that two of the top four things we seem to pray most fervently about (in my circles) are both legal entities; meaning they are anchored in the constitution and as such should be on our side. Unless you ascribe to the belief that the average citizen is a law breaking hooligan. 

Those two institution are the Traffic Police (which is why walking is so liberating) and our beloved City Council of Nairobi (CCN, Kanjo). A quick aside about Kanjo is I remember my grandmother who used to run a modest hotel in Kariakor (modest by Kariakor standards) wasn't a huge an of Kanjo and here we are a full four generations later; loathing their very being - see things have barely changed.

Kenyan Traffic Police
Back to the main aim of this article the Traffic Police - now the piece of the constitution that governs our nations roads is contained in the Traffic Act 2009 - at 232 pages its a real gem of a bedtime read. In fact judging by the scant regard that road users, designers, builders & maintainers have had for it - the case can be made that bedtime reading is what it has been used for. Because as a friend of mine normally says - you will find anything literally on the road.

KENYA TRAFFIC LEGISLATION
To curb the over abundance of anything on our roads our erstwhile MP's created an amendment to the Traffic Act 2009 (TA-09) called the Traffic Amendment Bill 2012 (TAA-12) we applauded it we celebrated it because it served two purposes - one it showed us the MP's were doing their job and it was going to bring sanity to our roads - reduce the over abundance of anything on our roads. What TAA-12 did was to redefine rules and penalties for some offences in the TA-09 and add some new ones that hadn't been covered previously. 

The average safe & sane driver never thinks they'd run afoul of the new laws; we all download them, read them on social media and considered ourselves duly warned and updated. Besides the people who drive drunk, barrel through petrol stations and drive on curbs are the anything - the people this law was meant to regulate and impoverish

Before Christmas eve I honestly hadn't given a second thought to the Traffic Act - I considered myself a safe sane driver - most people concurred that I was but that is a story for another day.

In closing I have so far learned the following;
  • The law is vast detailed in its grasp and glaring its rigidity
  • The law is actually on your side - it's designed to protect you; your dignity and your rights
  • The law is supposed to make being a Kenyan easy
Now what the law is designed to be and what it actually is very different because of the people who apply the law - not pointing any fingers at all. 

The environment under which drivers operate.
Based on the image on the left drivers operate  in the Kenyan Driving Environment where
  • Traffic Act 2009/12 - defines the rules
  • Kenya Police - enforce the rules
  • Driving Public - use the roads based on the rules
Should an offence occur then:
  • Traffic Act - defines the offences
  • Kenya Police - record offences by the Driving Public
  • Judiciary of Kenya - listen to evidence presented by the police then decide on the punishment due (if any) based on the limits defined in the Traffic Act
  • Not illustrated is the Legislature who draft the Traffic Act with input from stake holders. 
I shall continue to shed light on how the Traffic Legal process works based on my interactions....

Saturday, 12 October 2013

Who knows .....

So the verdict is out, withe respect to our recent mishaps in the +254. In summary:

JKIA Fire
This icon of our nation from before independence. This gateway where literally 95% of all the Kenyans who've flown out of and into this country have walked through the gates, lounges, check-in counters and terminals of this icon. When you're growing up as a Kenyan no matter your class, going to the airport was special. IT had a strange excitement to it. Literally relatives would come to the city from up country to say good bye and welcome you back when you flew in or out.... at least in my family :-)

Recently a monstrous fire ravaged the international arrival complex at JKIA affecting the international departure terminals as well. If you watch TV read the news, are on social media you saw it. A towering column of smoke reached into the sky, it could be seen from quite far. The whole city was in shock that whole day as fire engines and public officials raced into and out of the airport and we wondered which direction our country was headed... with everything we've been to our airport was that sacred icon of normalcy that met international standards (well most) and set us apart from other (African) nations and connected us to the rest of the world. Through out every crisis we've gone through its been a constant and then it burned....

So after the fire was put out, investigators were assigned and invited we had several press conferences and then a report was born and sprung on us at an inspection tour of the airport by the transport CS. The fire was caused in all its enormity by teeny weeny electrical fault. As we chocked on our incredulity the findings were corroborated by foreign investigators (which out to give us a measure of reassurance, I mean foreign is best yes? No!) end result we are all left tweedling our thumbs.. with a partially burnt down :-( but rapidly being refurbished :-) airport - winning smile!

So I'm left wondering ( and I hope I'm not alone) what happened? How did this happen after all these years of it not happening? Did anyone think or not think that this would happen?

Don't we have leaders to avoid having a situation where everything goes to hell in a basket and the nation burns down around our ears? Is this going to be the norm for Kenya? Horrible after horrible surprise and the findings are "Well it was an accident, we didn't plan or prepare for it?"

Friday, 11 October 2013

Are we one?

It's day twenty after the attacks on the  Westgate Shopping mall. It was horrible, it was horrific and shocking.

I've spent a significant time each day searching the media reading up on the new developments in the Westgate story and the more I learn the more disillusioned I get.

After the mall attack there was the killings, assassinations or executions of the Muslim clerics in Mombasa swiftly followed by Islamic outrage in which church's were burnt.

So much is happening around us, we are taking so many hits as a people yet somewhere in the ether "Weareone" is still trending its still a moto. The questions begs for an answer though;  Are we one?
Whichever way you ask it, weareone_dering?

A short is aside is that all these quips that have appeared as we find different ways to deal with the questions that we've all be left with in the aftermath of the events of the last three weeks are the way we deal with the questions we've been left with over the different things that have happened. 

Getting back to my main theme, I believe the answer is yes and no. How?
YES
We are one in receiving mediocre service and experiencing the effects of negligence and infighting by public officials - Westgate proved that
We are one in experiencing a sense of loss - should the image of our nation be tarnished even further by misfortune.
We are one in wondering what the future holds for Kenya and wanting to succeed (at what cost is another question)

NO
We are not one though - when it comes to religious extremism. When one religion with people who profess to be its followers can call for tolerance when those members (radical or not) carry out heinous crimes in retaliation for real or perceived injustices.
We aren't one when there is infighting amongst the people charged with keeping watch over our nation
We aren't one when our public servants steal (outright) 30%  of the money we give them through are hard earned taxes to build this nation and there is no recourse....

So the question remains  are we or aren't we one?